I agree definitely need to rethink the categories on here a bit, but for now this as good a place and we can probably move it if we restructure.
This will be a highly speculative response, but I will share my thinking about how adoption may play out for Aragon. Its definitely a grand vision that will take years to play out fully.
I think its helpful first bucket potential users into two categories, those who either feel strongly about their privacy/self-sovereignty or cannot associate their real world identity because they don’t have one and those who don’t care about those things but are interested in the transparency and security of running an organization on the blockchain.
For the sake communicating this in a fun way, lets call the first category Native Aragonians, and the second category Foreigners.
Native Aragonians can further be split into a group of highly technical users who are experimenting with protocols and DAOs that represent blockchain entities but are fundamentally incompatible with traditional and rigid definitions of a legal entity. Since we will reference this group again, lets call them Pioneers. The rest of the native Aragonians will likely be individuals under corrupt or dangerous government regimes that benefit from a jurisdiction that respects their self-sovereignty/privacy.
I expect the earliest users of Aragon (and not just the network) are the pioneers, we are already seeing adoption here from developers within the crypto ecosystem. They may create novel protocols/organizations that provide specific services (eg TCRs). As pioneers build interesting DAO based applications, it will attract other native Aragonians who see an immediate opportunity to earn crypto pseudoanonymously. As this economy develops it will get to a point where these organizations start to interact more abstractly, and thats when we may start see adoption of the aragon agreements and the court. One example of this is how we propose using agreements as a means to improve the court protocol and how we propose doing the price feed oracle for the reserves. It allows similar constructions as smart contract based protocols but with many of the advantages of human subjectivity.
In parallel I expect the group of foreigners to take some of the basic DAO infrastructure and create templates that bridge the divide between the physical world and Aragon. Things like legal entities that act as legal proxies for daos, or dao templates that designed to be connected directly to legal entities in a specific jurisidicitons – there is some movement to prepare for this is some existing jurisidictions like Malta, Wyoming, and Switzerland already.
Its possible that early on the economic value of foreigners will be much larger than the economic value native to aragon, its tempting to think we should try and extract a fee/tax but since everything is open source Its probably not wise. Overtime, as the native Aragon Economy grows in value, there will be increasing demand for native aragon DAOs to interact with Foreign companies (and vice versa), The foreign companies will already have blockchain interfaces and will be compatible with the Aragon Jurisidiction, but the Aragon Native organizations will be fundametally incompatible with traditional jurisidictions. So all interactions need to take place in the Aragon native jurisdiction.
From a speculators perspective, the value of ANT is as a currency that is optimized for use in collateralized agreements, so demand for ANT should increase as you see more interactions between Aragon Native organizations, and between Aragon Native organizations and Foreign companies.